Thursday December 14, 2023

The Operating Environment Assessment Paper

With the last set of state Assembly elections wrapped up, preparations for the 2024 general elections can begin in earnest. The BJP stands at a clear advantage, especially after its convincing wins in 3 key ‘Hindi heartland’ states. While Rajasthan, which traditionally alternates between the two national parties, was expected to go its way, the scale of victory in MP (163/230 seats) and Chhattisgarh (54/90) has tilted the odds heavily in its favour. Meanwhile, the Congress managed to unseat the ruling BRS in Telangana. Many have explained this way as a case of anti-incumbency, made worse by recent corruption scandals, but it is also indicative of the relative edge the INC enjoys in Southern India. However, the BRS’ loss may ironically push it closer to the NDA, thereby bolstering the ruling alliance. The INC’s lacklustre performance will also hamper its position within the INDIA alliance, which must battle both a loss of momentum and Narendra Modi’s undimmed popularity to pose a credible challenge to the BJP nationwide in 2024.

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